Match Info

NM Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Brann Stadion (Bergen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Brann		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	5.75
	1.46	4.45	6.4
	1.5	4.9	5.95
	1.03	13.89	44.54	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.46	4.65	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)	6.14 ↑ (4.4)	12.35 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brann
74.6%

Draw
17%

Aalesunds
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

21.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

20.6%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brann's performance.

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aalesunds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brann that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aalesunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brann - Aalesunds Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brann will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dyngeland M. (G) 21. De Roeve D. 3. Knudsen F. (C) 23. Pedersen T. 17. Soltvedt J. 25. Wassberg N. 18. Sorensen J. 8. Myhre F. 14. Mathisen U. 29. Holm N. 32. Haaland M.	26. Larsen T. (G) 14. Charles U. 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. 3. Gudmundsson O. 16. Orsahl J. 21. Christensen M. 18. Hagen E. 6. Hammer H. 8. Melland H. (C) 39. Lonebu K.
Substitutes
20. Dragsnes V. 16. Eriksen K. 11. Finne B. 43. Holten R. 10. Ingason K. M. 26. Matondo R. 6. Mbacke D. 12. Nilsen S. (G) 7. Thorsteinsson J.	2. Andresen M. 45. Aukland P. 20. Djantou I. 11. Johannsson D. 1. Klaesson K. (G) 17. Myrlid E. 7. Nesso K. 15. Osenbroch E. 25. Syversen U.
Coaches
Alexandersson F.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Gudmundsson O. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Haram S. (Own goal),
39', 2 - 0, Mathisen U. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Melland H. ↓, Djantou I. ↑,
46', Hammer H. ↓, Osenbroch E. ↑,
46', Wassberg N. ↓, Eriksen K. ↑,
68', Mathisen U. ↓, Finne B. ↑,
68', Haaland M. ↓, Thorsteinsson J. ↑,
72', Dyngeland M. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Hagen E. ⚽,
85', Orsahl J. ↓, Myrlid E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brann won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Brann is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brann won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:21. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Brann won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:9. (average 2.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Brann
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.04.26	Viking Stavanger - Brann	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Brann - Sandefjord	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Hamarkameratene - Brann	1:5 ✺
22.03.26	Brann - Tromsø	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
19.03.26	Bryne - Brann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.04.26	Bodø Glimt - Aalesunds	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Aalesunds - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Aalesunds - Fredrikstad	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Start - Aalesunds	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
18.03.26	Viking Stavanger - Aalesunds	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
20.08.23	Brann - Aalesunds	5:1
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Aalesunds - Brann	3:4 penalties
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.06.23	Aalesunds - Brann	1:3
Club Friendly
09.02.23	Brann - Aalesunds	3:0
19.03.22	Aalesunds - Brann	0:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.11.20	Brann - Aalesunds	3:1
24.06.20	Aalesunds - Brann	2:2

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