Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 3

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Hagenes K. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play
Norway	TV2 Play


	Aalesunds		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.7	2.7	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.2
	2.45	3.5	2.75
	2.47	3.72	2.84
	2.39	3.72	2.73	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.63
	2.47	3.64	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.86)	3.61 ↓ (3.72)	2.65 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
38.1%

Draw
26.2%

Fredrikstad
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

25.4%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

25.1%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fredrikstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aalesunds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fredrikstad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Aalesunds - Fredrikstad Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Aalesunds will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aalesunds: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Fredrikstad (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds (votes: 1 - 50%). Fredrikstad (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klaesson K. (G) 14. Charles U. 45. Aukland P. 5. Kjelsen A. 25. Syversen U. 16. Orsahl J. 21. Christensen M. 18. Hagen E. 8. Melland H. (C) 11. Johannsson D. 39. Lonebu K.	77. Borsheim M. (G) 16. Eid D. 5. Rafn S. (C) 12. Fredriksen U. 4. Holme F. 13. Sorlokk S. 20. Ohlenschlaeger O. 24. Owusu L. 21. Shein R. R. 23. Skogvold H. 10. Nunez J.
Substitutes
2. Andresen M. 20. Djantou I. 22. Engqvist E. 6. Hammer H. 4. Haram S. 26. Larsen T. (G) 17. Myrlid E. 7. Nesso K. 15. Osenbroch E.	19. Ghebreyohannes F. 15. Granaas E. 9. Laghzaoui S. 6. Leach S. 14. Nilsson M. 18. Norbye J. 2. Okpaleke K. 1. Ovretveit O. (G)
Coaches
Rekdal K.	Hagen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Melland H. ⚽, Christensen M. (A),
38', Holme F. ↓, Leach S. ↑,
38', Johannsson D. 🟨,
43', Aukland P. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Leach S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 2 - 1, Lonebu K. ⚽, Melland H. (A),
59', Skogvold H. ↓, Laghzaoui S. ↑,
59', Sorlokk S. ↓, Ghebreyohannes F. ↑,
64', Charles U. ↓, Nesso K. ↑,
64', Christensen M. ↓, Hammer H. ↑,
66', Kjelsen A. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Shein R. R. ⚽, Laghzaoui S. (A),
76', Melland H. ↓, Osenbroch E. ↑,
76', Johannsson D. ↓, Djantou I. ↑,
85', Shein R. R. ↓, Granaas E. ↑,
85', Rafn S. ↓, Norbye J. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Granaas E. ⚽, Ohlenschlaeger O. (A),
89', Syversen U. ↓, Myrlid E. ↑,
90+1', Borsheim M. 🟨,
90+3', Hammer H. 🟨,
90+6', Granaas E. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Aalesunds: Ngongo P. (Surgery)

There will not play in Fredrikstad: Kvile S. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Aalesunds: Kristensen M. (Injury) Seehusen J. (Injury) Syversen U. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Faraas B. (Injury) Nysveen J. (Injury) Owusu S. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalesunds won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Fredrikstad: 0.1%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	25:32	-7	28
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	33:46	-13	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.03.26	Start - Aalesunds	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
18.03.26	Viking Stavanger - Aalesunds	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.03.26	Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK	1:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
09.03.26	Egersund - Aalesunds	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.02.26	Aalesunds - Fredrikstad	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWLWL
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.03.26	Fredrikstad - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
19.03.26	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Fredrikstad	3:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.03.26	Tromsø - Fredrikstad	4:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
08.03.26	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.02.26	Aalesunds - Fredrikstad	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.02.26	Aalesunds - Fredrikstad	2:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.11.21	Fredrikstad - Aalesunds	2:2
12.06.21	Aalesunds - Fredrikstad	2:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.08.12	Fredrikstad - Aalesunds	1:3
15.07.12	Aalesunds - Fredrikstad	3:0

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