Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brann Stadion (Bergen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Malcevs E. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	19:00	Ziggo Sport
Norway	19:00	VG+


	Brann		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.63	4.1	4.2
	1.6	4.3	4.75	Watch
	1.6	4.3	5
	1.61	4.3	4.75	Watch
	1.65	4.25	4.49	Watch
	1.6	4.3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.92)	4.25 ↑ (3.62)	4.63 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brann
58%

Draw
21.9%

Go Ahead Eagles
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

25.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

25%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brann's performance.

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Go Ahead Eagles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brann that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Go Ahead Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	10.2%	8%

Brann - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: Brann will win (71 of 86 users predict this - 82.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.54% – 90.58%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dyngeland M. (G) 2. Hellan M. 3. Knudsen F. (C) 21. Kristiansen R. 17. Soltvedt J. 23. Pedersen T. 10. Kornvig E. 8. Myhre F. 7. Warming M. 11. Finne B. 9. Castro N.	1. De Lange J. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 25. Amofa J. 4. Kramer J. 5. James D. 8. Linthorst E. 10. Tengstedt S. 6. Twigt C. 11. Adekanye B. 16. Edvardsen V. 7. Breum J.
Substitutes
16. Blomberg O. 12. Borsheim M. (G) 26. Fauske Helland E. 20. Heggebo A. 36. Johansen E. (G) 18. Kartum S. 14. Mathisen U. 5. Opsahl S. 27. Sande M.	32. Apinsa D. 9. Baeten T. 20. Blomme X. 34. de Lannoy M. 24. Everink L. 31. Ghafour D. 22. Plogmann L. (G) 19. Serra D. 27. Stokkers F. 17. Suray M. 33. Verdoni N. (G) 15. Weijenberg R.
Coaches
Horneland E.	Simonis P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Tengstedt S. ⚽, Breum J. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Finne B. ⚽, Castro N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', De Lange J. 🟨,
52', Amofa J. 🟨,
62', 2 - 1, Knudsen F. ⚽, Castro N. (A),
64', Adekanye B. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
64', Linthorst E. ↓, Suray M. ↑,
65', Warming M. ↓, Blomberg O. ↑,
74', James D. ↓, Everink L. ↑,
74', Tengstedt S. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
75', Finne B. ↓, Heggebo A. ↑,
75', Hellan M. ↓, Mathisen U. ↑,
75', Pedersen T. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
80', Twigt C. ↓, Blomme X. ↑,
83', Soltvedt J. 🟨,
85', Castro N. ↓, Fauske Helland E. ↑,
85', Suray M. 🟨,
90+4', Edvardsen V. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Recent matches Brann is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Go Ahead is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brann could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Go Ahead have a series of home games.

In this match Brann is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brann won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Brann
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Brann	0:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.07.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Brann	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Brann - Haugesund	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Bodø Glimt - Brann	5:1 ✺
28.06.24	Brann - Strømsgodset	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTTLT
- Go Ahead Eagles
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Brann	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.24	Genk - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Gent	Canceled ✺
12.07.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Saint-Gilloise	Canceled ✺
03.07.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Telstar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TW??W

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Brann	0:0

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