Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: De Adelaarshorst (Deventer)

Referee: Shurman D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Norway	VG+
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Slovenia	SportKlub 3


	Go Ahead Eagles		Brann

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.5	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.7
	2.3	3.75	2.7	Watch
	2.29	3.67	2.71
	2.29	3.76	2.76	Watch
	2.1	3.6	2.88
	2.31	3.72	2.76	Watch
	2.35	3.7	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.97)	3.68 ↑ (3.55)	2.71 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Go Ahead Eagles
40.7%

Draw
25.1%

Brann
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

25.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

24.5%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Go Ahead Eagles's form might have worsened.

Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brann's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	7.7%	38.5%

Go Ahead Eagles - Brann Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Brann will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Lange J. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 25. Amofa J. 4. Kramer J. 5. James D. 8. Linthorst E. 10. Tengstedt S. 21. Llansana E. 11. Adekanye B. 16. Edvardsen V. 7. Breum J.	1. Dyngeland M. (G) 13. Crone S. 3. Knudsen F. (C) 21. Kristiansen R. 17. Soltvedt J. 10. Kornvig E. 23. Pedersen T. 18. Kartum S. 9. Castro N. 20. Heggebo A. 7. Warming M.
Substitutes
32. Apinsa D. 20. Blomme X. 34. de Lannoy M. 24. Everink L. 31. Ghafour D. 30. Jansen S. (G) 22. Plogmann L. (G) 19. Serra D. 27. Stokkers F. 6. Twigt C. 15. Weijenberg R.	16. Blomberg O. 11. Finne B. 2. Hellan M. 36. Johansen E. (G) 24. Klausen M. (G) 14. Mathisen U. 5. Opsahl S. 41. Remmem L. 27. Sande M. 6. Sery Larsen J.
Coaches
Simonis P.	Horneland E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Kornvig E. 🟨,
60', Crone S. ↓, Opsahl S. ↑,
60', Warming M. ↓, Blomberg O. ↑,
63', Tengstedt S. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
72', James D. ↓, Everink L. ↑,
78', Breum J. ↓, Weijenberg R. ↑,
78', Kramer J. ↓, Twigt C. ↑,
84', Castro N. ↓, Sande M. ↑,
84', Heggebo A. ↓, Finne B. ↑,
90+2', Llansana E. 🟥,
90+5', Adekanye B. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Go Ahead in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Brann is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Go Ahead could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
Club Friendly
17.07.24	Genk - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Gent	Canceled ✺
12.07.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Saint-Gilloise	Canceled ✺
03.07.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Telstar	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
26.05.24	Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 W??WW
- SK Brann
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.07.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Brann	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Brann - Haugesund	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Bodø Glimt - Brann	5:1 ✺
28.06.24	Brann - Strømsgodset	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.06.24	Brann - Kristiansund	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLTW

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