The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cambuur 35.2%
Draw 29.2%
Go Ahead Eagles 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
27.5%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
25.9%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
The chances for Go Ahead Eagles have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12%
24%
64%
Cambuur - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 3 - 12%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 16 - 64%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%). Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 45.2% – 82.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 12).
Cambuur has the most likely position - 18 (63.46%), has project points - 22, has currently - 13, has a good chance of relegated (92%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Go Ahead has the most likely position - 12 (18.8%), has project points - 40, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality40, small importance13, small match rating27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 1.
Cambuur has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Go Ahead is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cambuur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Cambuur: Bangura A.
(Injury)
Hoedemakers M.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Go Ahead: Adekanye B.
(Yellow Cards)
Willumsson W. T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Cambuur: Gullit M.
(Knee Injury)
Tol M.
(Injury)
van der Meer J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Go Ahead: Edvardsen O.
(Muscle Injury)
Kuipers B.
(Elbow Injury)
Llansana E.
(Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Cambuur won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-8.