Match Info

Brasiliense - Round 4

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Bezerrão (Gama)


	Brasília		Ceilândia

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.2	1.78
	4.3	3.17	1.78
	4.35	3.26	1.8	Watch
	4	3.1	1.8
	4.6	3.2	1.75
	4.25	3.14	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (5.2)	3.18 ↓ (3.72)	1.79 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasília
21.1%

Draw
28.4%

Ceilândia
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

24.6%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceilândia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Brasília - Ceilândia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceilândia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2 and 6).

Brasília may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ceilândia is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Brasília won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Brasília won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasília FC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
21.01.26	Paranoá - Brasília	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Brasília - Gama	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Brasiliense - Brasília	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Brasiliense 2
27.09.25	Brasília - Luziânia	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
18.03.23	Brasiliense - Brasília	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL
- Ceilândia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
21.01.26	Ceilândia - ARUC	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Samambaia - Ceilândia	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ceilândia - Sobradinho	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
23.08.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Ceilândia	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Ceilândia - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
15.02.23	Ceilândia - Brasília	3:3
29.01.22	Ceilândia - Brasília	2:1
01.03.17	Brasília - Ceilândia	0:3
13.04.16	Ceilândia - Brasília	1:0 penalties

Brasília - Ceilândia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide