Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 12

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday


	Brasil de Farroupilha		Inter Santa Maria

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.25	1.72
	4.16	3.22	1.75
				Watch
	4.99	3.38	1.66
	3.05	3.2	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.05)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	1.83 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Farroupilha
22%

Draw
28%

Inter Santa Maria
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

28.5%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

27.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Farroupilha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasil de Farroupilha's form might have worsened.

Inter Santa Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Santa Maria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Farroupilha than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasil de Farroupilha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Santa Maria than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Santa Maria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brasil de Farroupilha - Inter Santa Maria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, Julio Gabriel ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Brasil Farroupilha is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Inter SM has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brasil Farroupilha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Inter SM is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
10.07.25	Brasil de Farroupilha - GE Glória	1:0 ✺
02.07.25	Veranopolis - Brasil de Farroupilha	3:1 ✺
24.06.25	Lajeadense - Brasil de Farroupilha	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Brasil de Farroupilha - Aimoré	0:1 ✺
12.06.25	Brasil de Farroupilha - Passo Fundo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL
- Inter Santa Maria
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
13.07.25	Inter Santa Maria - Santa Cruz-RS	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Aimoré - Inter Santa Maria	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Inter Santa Maria - Gaúcho	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	GE Bagé - Inter Santa Maria	0:0 ✺
11.06.25	Inter Santa Maria - GE Glória	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWTT

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