Match Info

Date: 24 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)


	Brasil de Pelotas		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	3
	2.43	2.85	2.9
	2.7	2.76	3.08
	2.35	2.7	3
	2.49	3	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.45)	2.82 ↓ (3)	2.97 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
37%

Draw
32.3%

Aparecidense
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

33.4%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	81.8%	0%

Brasil de Pelotas - Aparecidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).

Recent matches Brasil de Pelotas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aparecidense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie C
17.07.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Atlético Cearense	4:1 ✺
10.07.22	Altos - Brasil de Pelotas	3:2 ✺
03.07.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Paysandu - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
18.06.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLTTW
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
17.07.22	Aparecidense - Altos	2:1 ✺
09.07.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
04.07.22	Aparecidense - ABC	2:2 ✺
26.06.22	Volta Redonda - Aparecidense	0:3 ✺
18.06.22	Aparecidense - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLTWW

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