Match Info

Date: 18 June 2022, Saturday


	Aparecidense		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.85	2.5
	2.75	2.85	2.55
	2.75	2.8	2.55
	3.19	2.49	2.86
	2.7	2.7	2.55
	2.8	2.92	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.63)	2.77 ↓ (3)	2.61 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecidense
32.2%

Draw
32.9%

Paysandu
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

34.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aparecidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Aparecidense - Paysandu Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aparecidense will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Paysandu will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).

Recent matches Aparecidense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paysandu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
13.06.22	Botafogo SP - Aparecidense	0:2 ✺
05.06.22	Aparecidense - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:2 ✺
28.05.22	Confiança - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
22.05.22	Aparecidense - Floresta	3:2 ✺
15.05.22	Figueirense - Aparecidense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTWL
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
12.06.22	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
05.06.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Paysandu	1:2 ✺
30.05.22	Paysandu - Manaus	2:0 ✺
22.05.22	Paysandu - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
15.05.22	EC São José Porto Alegre - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL

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