Match Info

Date: 3 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)


	Brasil de Pelotas		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.75	2.6
	2.75	2.75	2.6
	2.94	2.8	2.65
	2.8	2.55	2.62
	2.9	2.74	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.08)	2.72 ↓ (2.88)	2.63 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
32.1%

Draw
33.4%

Botafogo PB
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

31.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

31.4%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	59.1%	22.7%

Brasil de Pelotas - Botafogo PB Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Botafogo PB will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 59.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).

Brasil de Pelotas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Botafogo PB is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brasil de Pelotas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie C
26.06.22	Paysandu - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
18.06.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
11.06.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Ypiranga	0:2 ✺
04.06.22	Mirassol - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0 ✺
28.05.22	ABC - Brasil de Pelotas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLLL
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
19.06.22	Botafogo PB - Atlético Cearense	2:0 ✺
12.06.22	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
04.06.22	Botafogo PB - ABC	0:0 ✺
29.05.22	Volta Redonda - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
25.05.22	Botafogo PB - Campinense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTWT

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