Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 15

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Aracaju)

Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Confiança		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.7	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.88	3.15	2.59
	2.75	3.08	2.51	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.38
	2.73	3.04	2.43	Watch
	2.7	3.05	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.65)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	2.47 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
33.6%

Draw
29.6%

Volta Redonda
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.3%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Confiança - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Volta Redonda will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jeferson Souza (G) 8. Andre 4. Eduardo Junho 5. Fabio Silva 6. Felippe Borges 9. Hyuri 10. Italo 2. Lucas Mendes 3. Raphael 7. Vico 11. Willians Santana (C)	12. Jean Drosny (G) 5. Bruno Barra (C) 29. Bruno Santos 16. Douglas Skilo 21. Henrique Silva 4. Leo Rigo 11. MV 10. Patryck Machado 8. Robinho 6. Sanchez Costa 2. Wellington Silva
Substitutes
14. Adryan 13. Afonso 21. Douglas 15. Eduardo 20. Julio Rusch 16. Junior 18. Luiz Otavio 22. Pedro Rodrigues 17. Riquelmo 23. Robson 12. Thiago Braga (G) 19. Thiago Santos	15. Charles 19. Cristiano 13. Lucas Souza 20. Marcos Junior 9. Matheus Lucas 14. Michel Custodio 7. Rafinha 30. Vini Moura 31. Yago Oliveira (G)
Coaches
de Freitas U.	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Hyuri ⚽,
11', Eduardo Junho 🟨,
33', Robinho 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Bruno Santos ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, Vico ⚽,
52', Willians Santana 🟨,
53', Lucas Mendes 🟨,
63', Robinho ↓, Rafinha ↑,
63', Douglas Skilo ↓, Vini Moura ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Italo ⚽,
68', Willians Santana ↓, Robson ↑,
70', Sanchez Costa ↓, Cristiano ↑,
73', Hyuri ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
74', Felippe Borges ↓, Eduardo ↑,
76', Henrique Silva ↓, Charles ↑,
79', Rafinha 🟨,
83', Italo ↓, Douglas ↑,
84', Vico ↓, Riquelmo ↑,
87', Leo Rigo 🟨,
89', 4 - 1, Raphael ⚽,
90+4', Thiago Santos 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Recent matches Confiança is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Volta Redonda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Confiança could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Volta Redonda have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Confiança won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Confiança won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
22.07.24	Confiança - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Botafogo PB - Confiança	3:3 ✺
07.07.24	Confiança - Ypiranga	2:0 ✺
01.07.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Confiança	2:1 ✺
27.06.24	Confiança - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWLL
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie C
21.07.24	Volta Redonda - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
14.07.24	Volta Redonda - São Bernardo	1:3 ✺
06.07.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Volta Redonda	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Volta Redonda - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2 ✺
23.06.24	Volta Redonda - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
10.07.23	Confiança - Volta Redonda	0:1
02.07.22	Confiança - Volta Redonda	1:0

Confiança - Volta Redonda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide