Match Info

Recopa Gaucho - Final

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)


	Brasil de Pelotas		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	5.73	3.71	1.6
	5.51	3.81	1.54	Watch
	6	3.3	1.53
	6.31	3.62	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.89 ↑ (3.49)	3.61 ↑ (3.29)	1.54 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
15.5%

Draw
25.3%

Internacional RS
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27.5%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasil de Pelotas's form might have worsened.

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Internacional RS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Internacional RS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Brasil de Pelotas - Internacional RS Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Internacional will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Edson (G) 2. Tiago Baiano 3. Tony Lucas 4. Lula 13. Yuri Farias 7. Denis Germano 8. Venicio 18. Julio Simas (C) 6. Matheus Streit 11. Andrey 9. Iury Tanque	12. Anthoni (G) 35. Aguirre B. 20. Clayton Sampaio 18. Juninho 53. de Morais Francisco L. F. 16. Ronaldo 29. Thiago Maia 17. Bruno Tabata 10. Alan Patrick (C) 11. Kayky 19. Borre R.
Substitutes
12. Davi Schneider (G) 14. Gabriel Morbeck 10. Givigi 17. Guilherme Costa 23. Guty 25. Joao Lucas (G) 20. Masson G. 16. Otavio Passos 21. Robinho 19. Samuel 5. Thiago Henrique 15. Yago Zamora	31. Allex 33. Arhin B. 8. Bruno Henrique 32. Diego Esser (G) 51. Gabriel Kempes Goncalves J. 49. Joao Bezerra 22. Kauan Jesus (G) 46. Pedro Kaua 52. Vinicius G. 28. Vitinho 54. Zechmeister F.
Coaches
Gilson Maciel	Pezzolano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Matheus Streit ↓, Otavio Passos ↑,
60', Yuri Farias ↓, Yago Zamora ↑,
67', Kayky ↓, Allex ↑,
67', Iury Tanque ↓, Samuel ↑,
67', Denis Germano ↓, Masson G. ↑,
72', Masson G. 🟨,
76', 1 - 0, Lula ⚽, Otavio Passos (A),
78', Alan Patrick ↓, Vitinho ↑,
78', de Morais Francisco L. F. ↓, Zechmeister F. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Vitinho ⚽, Aguirre B. (A),
88', Thiago Maia ↓, Arhin B. ↑,
90+1', Tiago Baiano ↓, Thiago Henrique ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Borre R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brasil de Pelotas won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Brasil de Pelotas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Internacional is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brasil de Pelotas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:34. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Brasil de Pelotas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
02.05.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Brasil de Pelotas - São-Joseense	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Blumenau - Brasil de Pelotas	3:2 ✺
05.04.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Azuriz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLW
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Internacional RS - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Internacional RS	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Athletic Club - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Internacional RS - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
05.02.25	Internacional RS - Brasil de Pelotas	3:0
14.02.24	Internacional RS - Brasil de Pelotas	3:1
11.02.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Internacional RS	0:1
16.02.22	Internacional RS - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1
27.03.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Internacional RS	1:2
04.03.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Internacional RS	2:2
08.03.20	Internacional RS - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0

Upcoming Matches