Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video
Ecuador	DAZN
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1
World	OneFootball TV


	Internacional RS		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.2	4.33
	1.75	3.10	4.60
	2.02	3.2	3.55	Watch
	1.84	3.29	5.4
	1.8	3.3	5.15	Watch
	1.8	3.2	5.25
	1.9	3.38	4.82	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.18)	3.24 ↑ (3.13)	4.71 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
51%

Draw
29%

Grêmio
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Internacional RS's performance.

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Internacional RS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Internacional RS - Grêmio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Internacional RS will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Matheus Cunha (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 25. Mercado G. (C) 3. Maripan G. 6. Matheus Bahia 5. Villagra R. 27. Paulinho Paula 30. Calebe 26. Bernabei A. 7. Carbonero J. 28. Vitinho	1. Weverton (G) 27. Diego Caito 82. Wallace 4. Walter Kannemann (C) 23. Marlon 8. Noriega E. 7. Pavon C. 20. Villasanti M. 10. Krovinovic F. 77. Cabral J. 95. Carlos Vinicius
Substitutes
35. Aguirre B. 10. Alan Patrick 9. Alerrandro 12. Anthoni (G) 8. Bruno Henrique 17. Eliasson N. 44. Joao Victor 18. Juninho 16. Ronaldo 19. Sanabria A. 29. Thiago Maia 4. Torres F.	9. Amuzu F. 22. Braithwaite M. 38. Caio Paulista 15. Danilo Barbosa 99. Enamorado J. 12. Gabriel Grando (G) 37. Gabriel Mec 6. Gustavo Martins 40. Jefinho 14. Marcos Rocha 11. Tete 3. Wagner Leonardo
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Carlos Vinicius 🟨,
43', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Calebe ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
58', Cabral J. ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
58', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Braithwaite M. ↑,
65', Carbonero J. ↓, Alan Patrick ↑,
65', Paulinho Paula ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
78', Noriega E. ↓, Danilo Barbosa ↑,
78', Pavon C. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
82', Bernabei A. 🟨,
87', Bruno Gomes ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
90+2', Bernabei A. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
90+2', Walter Kannemann 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Internacional is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Internacional: Kayky (Ankle Injury) Rochet S. (Lower Back Injury)

There will not play in Grêmio: Dodi (Inactive) Gustavo Martins (Injury) Nardoni J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Internacional: Arhin B. (Hamstring Injury) Joao Victor (Muscle Injury) Matheus Cunha (Injury)

There are questionable in Grêmio: Noriega E. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Internacional RS - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.1%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
22.08.26	Internacional RS - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
17.08.26	Internacional RS - Remo	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Palmeiras - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.26	Corinthians - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Internacional RS - Corinthians	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTTLW
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
23.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Grêmio - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.26	Grêmio - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Mirassol - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
11.04.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.03.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	1:1
01.03.26	Grêmio - Internacional RS	3:0
25.01.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	4:2
Brazilian Serie A
21.09.25	Internacional RS - Grêmio	2:3
19.04.25	Grêmio - Internacional RS	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
16.03.25	Internacional RS - Grêmio	1:1

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