Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 12

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Colombia	Win Sports
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Usa	Fanatiz


	Internacional RS		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.98	3.35	3.7	Watch
	2	3.47	4.42
	1.93	3.5	4.08	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.96	3.51	4.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.75)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	4.09 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
49.1%

Draw
27.7%

Mirassol
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

26.2%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	5.6%	11.1%

Internacional RS - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: Internacional RS will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Anthoni (G) 35. Aguirre B. 4. Torres F. 41. Victor Gabriel 15. Bruno Gomes 27. Paulinho Paula 5. Villagra R. 28. Vitinho 10. Alan Patrick (C) 31. Allex 19. Borre R.	22. Walter (G) 34. Joao Victor (C) 2. Lucas Oliveira 3. Willian Machado 32. Igor Formiga 7. Shaylon 8. Denilson 21. Jose Aldo 6. Reinaldo 77. Alesson 99. Andre Luis
Substitutes
9. Alerrandro 30. Alisson 33. Arhin B. 8. Bruno Henrique 17. Bruno Tabata 7. Carbonero J. 20. Clayton Sampaio 44. Joao Victor 18. Juninho 22. Kauan Jesus (G) 11. Kayky 29. Thiago Maia	23. Alex Muralha (G) 96. Carlos Eduardo 10. Chico Kim 20. Daniel Borges 95. Edson Carioca 17. Everton Galdino 27. Galeano A. 9. Nathan Fogaca 25. Neto Moura 97. Rodrigues 29. Tiquinho Soares 12. Victor Luis
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Rafael Guanaes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', Lucas Oliveira 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Lucas Oliveira ⚽, Alesson (A),
42', Pezzolano P. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Andre Luis ⚽, Alesson (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Aguirre B. ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
54', Alex Muralha 🟨,
56', Jose Aldo 🟨,
62', Walter 🟨,
63', Denilson ↓, Neto Moura ↑,
67', Vitinho ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
67', Paulinho Paula ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
70', Alesson ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
71', Shaylon ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
74', Bruno Gomes ↓, Thiago Maia ↑,
81', Allex ↓, Kayky ↑,
81', Reinaldo ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
81', Andre Luis ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Alan Patrick ⚽, Borre R. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Internacional is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mirassol has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mirassol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Internacional is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Internacional: Bernabei A. (Yellow Cards) Mercado G. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Mirassol: Eduardo (Red Card) Igor Carius (Hamstring Injury) Yuri Lara (Inactive)

There are questionable in Mirassol: Negueba (Injury) Reinaldo (Injury)

We predict that Internacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Internacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Mirassol	29	8	9	12	34:43	-9	33
17	Internacional	29	7	10	12	32:37	-5	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
11.04.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Corinthians - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
01.04.26	Internacional RS - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Internacional RS - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Santos - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWTWW
- Mirassol
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	LDU Quito - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.04.26	Mirassol - Bahia	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Mirassol - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
01.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Mirassol	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
15.10.25	Mirassol - Internacional RS	3:1
18.05.25	Internacional RS - Mirassol	1:1

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