Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)


	Brasil de Pelotas		Patrocinense

	1	X	2
	2	2.87	3.6
	1.98	2.81	4.11
	2	2.97	4
	2.05	2.95	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.82)	2.9 ↓ (3.25)	3.83 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
45.1%

Draw
31.2%

Patrocinense
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.2%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

27.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasil de Pelotas's form might have worsened.

Patrocinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brasil de Pelotas - Patrocinense Predictions

Users Predictions: Brasil de Pelotas will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Brasil de Pelotas is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Patrocinense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Patrocinense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brasil de Pelotas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
22.07.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Concórdia	1:0 ✺
15.07.23	São-Joseense - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
09.07.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo	1:0 ✺
02.07.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Caxias	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Aimoré - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWT
- CA Patrocinense
Brazilian Serie D
22.07.23	Internacional de Limeira - Patrocinense	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Patrocinense - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	2:0 ✺
09.07.23	Patrocinense - Operário MS	3:0 ✺
02.07.23	FC Cascavel - Patrocinense	1:1 ✺
24.06.23	Maringá - Patrocinense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWTL

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