Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 14

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)


	Brasil de Pelotas		Concórdia

	1	X	2
	1.88	3	3.8
	1.9	3.2	3.75
	1.84	3.23	4.26	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.75
	1.84	3.24	4.12
	1.9	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.01)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	3.91 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
48.3%

Draw
28.6%

Concórdia
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

29.3%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

29.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Concórdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Brasil de Pelotas - Concórdia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Adriano Klein ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 0, Jeferson Lopes ⚽,
77', 🟥,
80', 2 - 1, William Alves ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
14.07.24	Barra Santa Catarina - Brasil de Pelotas	2:2 ✺
10.07.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Avenida	4:0 ✺
07.07.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Cianorte	1:2 ✺
03.07.24	Novo Hamburgo - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2 ✺
30.06.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLWW
- Concórdia AC
Brazilian Serie D
14.07.24	Concórdia - Novo Hamburgo	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Concórdia - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	FC Cascavel - Concórdia	1:0 ✺
19.06.24	Novo Hamburgo - Concórdia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
28.04.24	Concórdia - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0
22.07.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Concórdia	1:0
07.05.23	Concórdia - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1

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