Match Info
BRAZIL: Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 4 August 2024, SundayLocation: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)
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 |
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Brasil de Pelotas |
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Água Santa |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.37 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.45 |
3 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.52 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
|
 |
2.49 |
2.88 |
2.95 |
 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
2.88 |
|
 |
2.34 |
2.96 |
3.02 |
|
 |
2.45 |
3 |
2.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.32) |
2.93 ↓
(3.1) |
2.88 ↑
(2.86) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brasil de Pelotas
37.5% | Draw
30.9% | Água Santa
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)Brasil de Pelotas - Água Santa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 🟥,
- 35', 1 - 0, Adriano Klein ⚽,
- 39', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 0, Carvalho L. ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1. Brasil de Pelotas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Recent matches Água Santa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Água Santa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently Água Santa have a series of home games. The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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