Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday


	Água Santa		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	1.73	3	4.75
	1.75	3.2	4.75
	1.8	2.92	4.65
	1.92	3.04	4.21	Watch
	1.67	3.1	4.8
	1.73	3.2	4.88
	1.75	3.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.28)	3.09 ↑ (2.99)	4.68 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Água Santa
51.4%

Draw
29.3%

Brasil de Pelotas
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

30%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Água Santa's performance.

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brasil de Pelotas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Água Santa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Água Santa - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Água Santa will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
72', 1 - 0, Gustavo Xuxa ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, Mario Henrique ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Carvalho L. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Serie D
20.07.24	Água Santa - Patrocinense	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Maringá - Água Santa	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Água Santa - Internacional de Limeira	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Água Santa - Santo André	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	São José-SP - Água Santa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWT
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
21.07.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Concórdia	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Barra Santa Catarina - Brasil de Pelotas	2:2 ✺
10.07.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Avenida	4:0 ✺
07.07.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Cianorte	1:2 ✺
03.07.24	Novo Hamburgo - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWLW

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