Match Info

BRAZIL: Brasiliense - Round 9

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Brasiliense		Paranoá

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	4
	1.53	3.9	5.2
	1.48	4.42	4.84
	1.51	4.34	5.17	Watch
	1.63	4.26	4.5
	1.53	3.9	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.69)	4.09 ↑ (3.77)	4.82 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasiliense
58.6%

Draw
22.4%

Paranoá
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

24.2%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

23.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasiliense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Paranoá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paranoá than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Brasiliense - Paranoá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Gustavo Henrique ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5).

Brasiliense is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Paranoá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brasiliense is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Brasiliense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:3 (average 2.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Brasiliense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:3 (average 2.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasiliense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
27.02.25	Capital CF Ltda - Brasiliense	3:0 ✺
23.02.25	Brasiliense - Gama	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
19.02.25	Vila Nova - Brasiliense	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
16.02.25	Sobradinho - Brasiliense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
13.02.25	Brasiliense - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWTT
- Paranoá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
22.02.25	Paranoá - Real Brasilia	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Paranoá - Capital CF Ltda	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	Ceilandense - Paranoá	3:4 ✺
08.02.25	Paranoá - Ceilândia	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Gama - Paranoá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
03.02.24	Brasiliense - Paranoá	0:0
05.03.23	Brasiliense - Paranoá	1:2
23.01.22	Brasiliense - Paranoá	2:1
18.03.20	Brasiliense - Paranoá	8:0

Brasiliense - Paranoá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide