Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday


	Brea		Alfaro

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.17	2.9	3.4
	2.18	2.95	3.2
	2.18	2.97	3.54
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.14	3.04	3.36
	2.2	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.22)	2.95 ↑ (2.8)	3.29 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brea
41.6%

Draw
30.8%

Alfaro
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

32.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

31.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brea than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Brea - Alfaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Brea is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alfaro has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brea will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Brea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.12.22	Utebo - Brea	3:0 ✺
11.12.22	Brea - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Izarra - Brea	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Brea - Tudelano	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Sestao - Brea	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.9 LTWWW
- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.12.22	Alfaro - Cirbonero	0:2 ✺
10.12.22	Mutilvera - Alfaro	4:2 ✺
04.12.22	Alfaro - San Juan	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Alavés B - Alfaro	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Alfaro - Gernika	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Brea - Alfaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide