Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Brea		Utebo

	1	X	2
	4.6	3	1.75
	4.33	3.1	1.9	Watch
	4.72	3	1.9
	4.72	3	1.9
	4.79	3.27	1.77
	4.8	3	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (5.12)	3.06 ↓ (3.5)	1.84 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brea
19.8%

Draw
30.1%

Utebo
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

26.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

25.8%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utebo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brea than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utebo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Barrero A. O. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Barrero A. O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Brea is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brea won 0.

Brea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Utebo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Utebo is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Brea won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Brea won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Brea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.04.24	Brea - Gernika	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Real Sociedad C - Brea	3:2 ✺
30.03.24	Brea - Náxara	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Tudelano - Brea	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Brea - Calahorra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.04.24	Utebo - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Gernika - Utebo	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Utebo - Zaragoza B	3:2 ✺
23.03.24	Real Sociedad C - Utebo	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Utebo - Alavés B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.12.23	Utebo - Brea	1:1
30.04.23	Brea - Utebo	1:1
17.12.22	Utebo - Brea	3:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
07.03.21	Utebo - Brea	1:0
09.02.20	Utebo - Brea	4:0
22.09.19	Brea - Utebo	1:0
13.01.19	Utebo - Brea	2:1

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