The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugano 36.6%
Draw 26%
Thun 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
25.8%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
24.9%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Lugano - Thun Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Thun will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Saipi A. (G) 6. Papadopoulos A. 17. Mai L. 3. Delcroix H. 46. Zanotti M. 25. Bislimi U. 8. Grgic A. 21. Cimignani Y. 11. Steffen R. (C) 27. Dos Santos D. 9. Koutsias G.
24. Steffen N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 4. Montolio G. 19. Bamert J. 27. Heule M. 6. Bertone L. (C) 14. Kait M. 77. Meichtry F. 7. Imeri K. 96. Labeau B. 74. Rastoder E.
Substitutes
7. Alioski E. 29. Belhadj M. 10. Bottani M. 4. Kelvin D. 14. Kendouci A. 18. Mahou H. 26. Marques M. 99. Mina D. (G) 24. Pihlstrom E.
37. Dahler L. 9. Dursun F. 5. Franke D. 33. Gutbub M. 78. Matoshi V. 70. Reichmuth N. 16. Roth J. 20. Rupp N. 25. Spycher T. (G)
Coaches
Croci-Torti M.
Lustrinelli M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Montolio G. 🟨,
42', Papadopoulos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Cimignani Y. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Dos Santos D. ⚽, Steffen R. (A),
64', Heule M. 🟨,
67', Labeau B. ↓, Matoshi V. ↑,
67', Imeri K. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
67', Meichtry F. ↓, Dursun F. ↑,
71', Cimignani Y. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
79', Bertone L. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
84', Steffen R. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
84', Dos Santos D. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
84', Zanotti M. ↓, Alioski E. ↑,
86', Kait M. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
90', Koutsias G. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
90+3', Steffen N. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
In recent matches, Lugano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Thun is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Lugano: Behrens K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cassano C.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Thun: Burki M.
(Inactive)
Ibayi C.
(Yellow Cards)
Ziswiler N.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Lugano: Alioski E.
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Thun: Matoshi V.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
Serbia
Switzerland
Ukraine
World
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Saipi A. (G) 
Papadopoulos A. 
Delcroix H. 
Zanotti M. 
Bislimi U. 
Cimignani Y. 
Koutsias G. 
Montolio G. 
Kait M. 
Labeau B. 
Rastoder E. 
Belhadj M. 
Kendouci A. 
Marques M. 
Pihlstrom E. 
Dursun F. 
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