Match Info

Super League - Round 1

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Thermoplan Arena (Luzern)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Serbia	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Luzern		Thun

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.9	4.33	Watch
	2.00	3.70	3.25
	1.75	3.95	3.9
	1.8	4.22	4.17
	1.82	4.23	3.77	Watch
	1.8	4.05	3.95
	1.77	3.86	4.08	Watch
	1.77	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.33)	3.99 ↑ (3.87)	3.93 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern
52.3%

Draw
23.7%

Thun
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

24.2%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luzern's performance.

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	12.5%	6.2%

Luzern - Thun Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 26 - 81.3%). Thun will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luzern: 67.8% – 94.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Luzern (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simoni S. (G) 20. Dorn P. (C) 5. Knezevic S. 21. Luthi L. 22. Dantas Fernandes R. 10. Silva L. 24. Owusu T. 6. Bertone L. 11. Di Giusto M. 16. Kabwit O. 27. Villiger L.	1. Steffen N. (G) 37. Dahler L. 5. Burgy N. 19. Bamert J. (C) 17. Balaruban A. 30. Maier N. 8. Saiz F. 13. Zoukit N. 21. Derbaci D. 33. Gutbub M. 11. Stewart L.
Substitutes
14. Ciganiks A. 28. Dantas Fernandes R. 13. Freimann B. H. 3. Lofgren J. 71. Meyer S. 7. Oehlers A. 63. Radtke R. (G) 17. Wyss S. 80. Zimmermann M.	47. Fehr F. 27. Heule M. 96. Labeau B. 80. Lengen S. 78. Matoshi V. 54. Passavant L. 70. Reichmuth N. 16. Roth J. 25. Spycher T. (G)
Coaches
Portmann J.	Privitelli G. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Knezevic S. ⚽, Kabwit O. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Maier N. ⚽, Gutbub M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Dorn P. 🟨,
51', 1 - 2, Gutbub M. ⚽, Burgy N. (A),
60', Zoukit N. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
60', Balaruban A. ↓, Heule M. ↑,
61', Maier N. ↓, Matoshi V. ↑,
64', Silva L. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
72', Burgy N. 🟨,
74', Derbaci D. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
74', Villiger L. ↓, Zimmermann M. ↑,
74', Dantas Fernandes R. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
80', Stewart L. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
83', Ciganiks A. 🟨,
84', 1 - 3, Burgy N. ⚽, Dahler L. (A),
85', Owusu T. ↓, Meyer S. ↑,
85', Di Giusto M. ↓, Wyss S. ↑,
89', Zimmermann M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 1.

Luzern could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Luzern: Freimann B. (Red Card)

There will not play in Thun: Montolio G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Luzern: Grbic A. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Luzern: 1.66% Thun: 1.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Luzern	10	3	3	4	17:22	-5	12
9	Thun	10	3	1	6	17:27	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Luzern - Sint-Truidense	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Wil 1900 - Luzern	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Luzern - Winterthur	3:2 ✺
27.06.26	Luzern - Lausanne Ouchy	3:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
16.05.26	Winterthur - Luzern	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW
- FC Thun
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Thun - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
17.05.26	St. Gallen - Thun	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Thun - Young Boys	3:8 ✺
10.05.26	Sion - Thun	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Basel - Thun	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
28.02.26	Thun - Luzern	2:1
06.12.25	Thun - Luzern	4:1
09.08.25	Luzern - Thun	1:2
Swiss Cup
16.09.23	Thun - Luzern	1:3 ET
31.01.23	Thun - Luzern	3:2 penalties
13.09.20	Thun - Luzern	0:1
Swiss Super League
05.07.20	Luzern - Thun	3:0

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