Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur)

Referee: Redder M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland


	Breiðablik		Virtus

	1	X	2
	1.07	11	23	Watch
	1.07	11.5	23
	1.04	13	29	Watch
	1.06	14.31	21.46
	1.11	8.53	15.88	Watch
	1.05	14.8	40	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.11)	12.19 ↑ (8.53)	25.39 ↑ (15.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breiðablik
88.5%

Draw
7.7%

Virtus
3.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.3%

10.8%

5.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Breiðablik's performance.

Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	26.7%	0%

Breiðablik - Virtus Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Breiðablik will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breiðablik: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Breiðablik will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson A. (G) 17. Valgeirsson V. 44. Muminovic D. 21. Margeirsson V. 19. Jonsson K. 15. Thorsteinsson A. 7. Gunnlaugsson H. (C) 8. Einarsson V. 11. Bjarnason A. 77. Thomsen T. 18. Ingvarsson D.	12. Guddo S. (G) 17. Golinucci A. (C) 26. Giacomoni A. 18. Legittimo M. 15. Gori N. 10. Buonocunto I. 45. Ciacci E. 21. Amati A. 19. Niang A. 90. Scappini S. 11. Lombardi T.
Substitutes
39. Agustsson B. 12. Bragason B. (G) 31. Gunnleifsson G. 29. Hallsson G. 26. Kotlevs A. 23. Kristinsson K. 99. Magnusson G. 9. Omarsson O. 4. Orrason A. 33. Snaeholm G. (G) 10. Steindorsson K. 28. Thorsteinsson B.	25. Benincasa S. 20. Capicchioni G. 34. De Lucia U. 1. Manzaroli M. (G) 4. Montanari A. 16. Muggeo J. 6. Sabato R. 33. Zenoni M.
Coaches
Arnason H.	Bizzotto L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Scappini S. (Pen),
31', 1 - 1, Valgeirsson V. ⚽, Jonsson K. (A),
45+1', Golinucci A. 🟨,
45+3', Amati A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gunnlaugsson H. ↓, Steindorsson K. ↑,
51', Gori N. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Thomsen T. (Pen),
63', Ingvarsson D. ↓, Omarsson O. ↑,
63', Bjarnason A. ↓, Kristinsson K. ↑,
69', Scappini S. 🟨,
69', Muminovic D. 🟨,
73', Amati A. ↓, Montanari A. ↑,
73', Lombardi T. ↓, Zenoni M. ↑,
76', Thomsen T. ↓, Magnusson G. ↑,
85', Scappini S. ↓, Benincasa S. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+1', Ciacci E. ↓, Capicchioni G. ↑,
90+1', Niang A. ↓, Muggeo J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Breiðablik is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Virtus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Breiðablik is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breiðablik UBK
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.08.25	Breiðablik - FH Hafnarfjordur	4:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	Breiðablik - Zrinjski Mostar	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
10.08.25	Valur - Breiðablik	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.08.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Breiðablik	1:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.08.25	Breiðablik - KA Akureyri	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTT
- SS Virtus
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Virtus - Milsami Orhei	3:0 ✺
07.08.25	Milsami Orhei - Virtus	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Virtus	2:1 ✺
08.07.25	Virtus - Zrinjski Mostar	0:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
24.05.25	Virtus - Tre Fiori	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLLW

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