Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Breno		Vogherese

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.45	4.55
	1.74	3.52	4.25	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.5
	1.67	3.45	4.69
	1.76	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.3)	3.4 ↑ (3.38)	4.44 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breno
53.1%

Draw
26.6%

Vogherese
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

26.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Breno's performance.

Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vogherese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breno than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Breno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vogherese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Breno - Vogherese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Recent performances by Breno have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vogherese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Breno is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.01.26	Castellanzese - Breno	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Villa Valle - Breno	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Breno - Varesina	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Brusaporto - Breno	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Breno - Real Calepina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWLW
- AVC Vogherese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.01.26	Vogherese - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vogherese - Milan Futuro	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Caldiero Terme - Vogherese	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Vogherese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Casatese - Vogherese	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTLL

Breno - Vogherese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide