Match Info
Serie D - Group B - Round 20Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday
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Leon |
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Breno |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.18 |
3.1 |
3 |
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2.05 |
3.34 |
3.28 |
 Watch |
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2.1 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
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2.04 |
3.56 |
3.35 |
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2.05 |
3.33 |
3.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.32) |
3.25 ↑
(3) |
3.19 ↑
(2.82) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leon
43.6% | Draw
28% | Breno
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leon's performance.Breno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leon than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breno than the current prediction. (+2.1%)Leon - Breno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Bigolin C. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Bonseri M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 87', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟥,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. Leon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).Including home match between the teams, Leon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Leon | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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