The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brescia 49.5%
Draw 26.2%
Crotone 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
26.6%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.9%
21.3%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crotone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.7%
12.8%
8.5%
Brescia - Crotone Predictions
Users Predictions:
Brescia will win
(37 of 47 users predict this - 78.72%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.02% โ 90.42%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Brescia has the most likely position - 2 (14.97%), has project points - 65, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (38%), has a small chance of win league (14%).
Crotone has the most likely position - 13 (6.47%), has project points - 50, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Brescia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Crotone is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Brescia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Crotone have a series of home games.
In this match Brescia is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Brescia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-3.
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