The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crotone 35.2%
Draw 30.1%
Brescia 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
30%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20.8%
47.9%
31.2%
Crotone - Brescia Predictions
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 10 - 20.8%). Brescia will win (votes: 15 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 47.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.8% โ 62%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Crotone has the most likely position - 17 (21.92%), has project points - 33, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (69%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Brescia has the most likely position - 5 (13.57%), has project points - 64, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (70%), has a chance of promoted (28%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
This event has quality31, importance44, match rating38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crotone won 0.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Brescia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Crotone won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-7.