Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 10

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Ternana		Brescia

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.8	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.4
	2.1	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.16	3.22	3.93
	2.16	3.22	3.93
	2.38	3.2	3
	2.05	3.38	3.6	Watch
	2.13	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.79)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)	3.6 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
44.2%

Draw
29.4%

Brescia
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.4%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ternana's performance.

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brescia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ternana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brescia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Ternana - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Brescia will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ternana: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 19. Capuano M. 23. Diakite S. 3. Celli A. 15. Casasola T. 71. Luperini G. 25. Labojko J. 91. Corrado N. 10. Falletti C. (C) 9. Raimondo A. 17. Favilli A.	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 32. Papetti A. 28. Adorni D. 14. Mangraviti M. 18. Jallow A. 25. Bisoli D. 5. Van de Looi T. 7. Bjarnason B. 3. Huard M. 11. Moncini G. 9. Bianchi F.
Substitutes
6. Alba T. 8. de Boer K. 65. Dionisi F. 28. Di Stefano F. 27. Favasuli C. 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 44. Lucchesi L. 13. Mantovani V. 73. Marginean I. 66. Pyyhtia N. 4. Sorensen F. 33. Travaglini C.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 39. Besaggio M. 29. Borrelli G. 24. Dickmann L. 21. Fogliata R. 23. Galazzi N. 27. Olzer G. 4. Paghera F. 16. Riviera C.
Coaches
Lucarelli C.	Gastaldello D.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Brescia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ternana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Ternana won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
07.10.23	Cittadella - Ternana	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	Ternana - Reggiana	3:0 ✺
26.09.23	Ascoli - Ternana	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Ternana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Como - Ternana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLTL
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
06.10.23	Brescia - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
26.09.23	Spezia - Brescia	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Brescia - Venezia	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Lecco - Brescia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.04.23	Brescia - Ternana	1:0
12.11.22	Ternana - Brescia	0:0
22.01.22	Brescia - Ternana	1:1
22.08.21	Ternana - Brescia	0:2
18.02.18	Brescia - Ternana	3:1
03.10.17	Ternana - Brescia	1:1
25.04.17	Brescia - Ternana	2:1

Ternana - Brescia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide