Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 6

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Max
World	Onefootball


	Brescia		Novara

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.7	3.35	4.75
	1.73	3.34	5.15
	2.62	3.15	2.66	Watch
	1.68	3.34	4.89	Watch
	1.84	3.33	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.87)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	4.33 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
49.5%

Draw
28.7%

Novara
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.2%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

27.7%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Brescia - Novara Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Brescia (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Brescia (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brescia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brescia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Gori S. (G) 3. Rizzo A. 5. Pasini N. 24. Boci B. 11. Cisco A. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 6. Mercati A. 20. Zennaro M. 15. De Francesco A. 7. Di Molfetta D. 32. Spagnoli A.	1. Boseggia E. (G) 70. Valdesi A. 5. Bertoncini D. 26. Lorenzini F. 72. Agyemang G. 15. Khailoti O. 21. Ranieri R. (C) 19. Collodel R. 36. Arboscello R. 7. Lanini E. 20. da Graca C.
Substitutes
82. Armati L. 97. Cazzadori D. 22. Damioli M. (G) 18. De Maria V. 21. Fogliata R. 37. Giani E. 1. Liverani L. (G) 17. Maistrello T. 28. Silvestri L. 4. Sorensen F. 77. Vesentini F.	99. Basso G. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 71. D'Alessio L. 17. Dell'Erba D. 10. Donadio C. 25. Foti 11. Ledonne N. 4. Malaspina M. 23. Morosini L. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 12. Rossetti M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Valdesi A. ⚽,
22', Lanini E. 🟨,
40', Lanini E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Boci B. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
57', De Francesco A. ↓, Maistrello T. ↑,
63', Arboscello R. 🟨,
63', 🟨,
68', Arboscello R. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
72', Rizzo A. ↓, Cazzadori D. ↑,
72', Cisco A. ↓, De Maria V. ↑,
79', Ranieri R. ↓, Donadio C. ↑,
82', Lorenzini F. 🟨,
83', Zennaro M. ↓, Sorensen F. ↑,
87', Giani E. 🟨,
90+4', Valdesi A. ↓, Malaspina M. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 1, Cazzadori D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 15).

Brescia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Novara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Brescia is the team to beat.

We predict that Brescia will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.25	Brescia - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Renate - Brescia	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Brescia - Pro Vercelli	5:0 ✺
31.08.25	Trento - Brescia	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Brescia - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWL
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.25	Novara - Pro Vercelli	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Pro Patria - Novara	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Novara - Trento	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Novara	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Novara - Inter U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTTT

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