Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Brescia		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	3.9	6.5
	1.45	3.95	6.9
	1.41	4.16	8.73
	2.83	1.62	9.52	Watch
	1.42	3.78	7.7	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	7.66 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
59.4%

Draw
27.8%

Pergolettese
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.5%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

24.5%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Brescia - Pergolettese Predictions

Users Predictions: Brescia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brescia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Gori S. (G) 4. Sorensen F. 5. Pasini N. 3. Rizzo A. 21. Fogliata R. 20. Zennaro M. 6. Mercati A. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 18. De Maria V. 32. Spagnoli A. 17. Maistrello T.	22. Doldi F. (G) 27. Aidoo M. 26. Bane A. 14. Lambrughi A. 33. Capoferri M. 21. Careccia S. 4. Arini M. 6. Dore S. 7. Tomaselli G. 9. Parker S. 77. Pessolani G.
Substitutes
82. Armati L. 24. Boci B. 97. Cazzadori D. 15. De Francesco A. 37. Giani E. 51. Grazioli N. (G) 44. Guglielmotti D. 1. Liverani L. (G) 45. Valente M. 9. Vido L.	3. Antolini J. 13. Benvenuto M. 1. Cordaro L. (G) 32. Di Gesu E. 10. Ferrandino D. 12. Finardi E. (G) 72. Padalino A. 19. Pala A. 30. Pepa N. 76. Roversi L. 82. Sartori F. 20. Tremolada M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Mercati A. 🟨,
45+1', Pasini N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Careccia S. 🟨,
56', Careccia S. ↓, Tremolada M. ↑,
64', Maistrello T. ↓, Vido L. ↑,
64', Balestrero D. ↓, Guglielmotti D. ↑,
64', Fogliata R. ↓, De Francesco A. ↑,
66', Rizzo A. 🟨,
71', Tomaselli G. ↓, Pala A. ↑,
71', Dore S. ↓, Di Gesu E. ↑,
74', Guglielmotti D. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
77', Spagnoli A. ↓, Cazzadori D. ↑,
79', Pessolani G. ↓, Ferrandino D. ↑,
79', Aidoo M. ↓, Padalino A. ↑,
84', Doldi F. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Brescia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pergolettese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Brescia is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Brescia will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
28.09.25	Virtus Verona - Brescia	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	Brescia - Novara	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Brescia - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Renate - Brescia	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Brescia - Pro Vercelli	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTWWW
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
28.09.25	Pergolettese - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Trento - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Pergolettese - Inter U23	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Ospitaletto - Pergolettese	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Pergolettese - Cittadella	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTLWW

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