Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Barbetti F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Ospitaletto		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.20	3.90
	1.81	3.25	3.70	Watch
	1.81	3.36	5.18
	1.8	3.33	4.31	Watch
	1.78	3.10	5.10
	1.84	3.42	4.30	Watch
	1.76	3.25	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	3.27 ↑ (3.21)	4.41 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
51.1%

Draw
28.1%

Pergolettese
20.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

28%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Ospitaletto - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ferrante M. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 15. Parmiggiani P. 4. Nessi R. 20. Casali M. 26. Mondini G. 8. Tigani E. 43. Guarneri M. 14. Galuppini F. 9. Gobbi F. 7. Messaggi C. (C)	22. Doldi F. (G) 76. Roversi L. 5. Silvestri T. (C) 15. Dell'Orco C. 49. Zaia E. 20. Tremolada M. 30. Berretta A. 21. Evangelista C. 10. Ferrandino D. 7. Pala A. 11. Corti N.
Substitutes
10. Cantamessa S. 1. Fratti C. (G) 55. Mundi R. (G) 18. Paganotti M. 28. Panatti M. 17. Plutnik A. 3. Possenti M. 11. Ragnoli Galli F. 77. Stefanoni D. 21. Torri A. 45. Valente M. 24. Valota G.	70. Antolini J. 12. Asperti A. (G) 18. Avena P. 73. Bassi E. 1. Cordaro L. (G) 90. Giroletti M. J. 79. Gorno F. 32. La Masa C. 77. Orlandi A. 27. Pavanello A. 9. Rossetti M.
Coaches
Quaresmini A.	Giosa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Tigani E. ⚽, Messaggi C. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Gobbi F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
65', Evangelista C. ↓, Rossetti M. ↑,
65', Pala A. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
68', Messaggi C. 🟨,
70', Messaggi C. ↓, Stefanoni D. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Stefanoni D. (Own goal),
80', 2 - 2, Roversi L. ⚽,
84', 2 - 3, Rossetti M. ⚽,
85', Rossetti M. 🟨,
86', Tigani E. ↓, Cantamessa S. ↑,
86', Guarneri M. ↓, Valente M. ↑,
87', Parmiggiani P. ↓, Possenti M. ↑,
87', Corti N. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
90+3', Berretta A. ↓, Antolini J. ↑,
90+3', Ferrandino D. ↓, Bassi E. ↑,
90+6', Valente M. 🟨,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/8 - finals) and 12th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Pergolettese could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Ospitaletto for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ospitaletto has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ospitaletto against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ospitaletto	11	5	3	3	18:11	7	18
7	Pergolettese	11	4	5	2	10:9	1	17

Last Results with these Odds

Pergolettese - the odds 4.05 are the expected chance of winning is 22.43%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.26	Treviso - Ospitaletto	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Ospitaletto - Renate	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Novara - Ospitaletto	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Ospitaletto - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Carpi - Ospitaletto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWLT
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
10.10.26	Pergolettese - Carpi	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pergolettese	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Pergolettese - Trento	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Lecco - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Pergolettese - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.01.26	Pergolettese - Ospitaletto	1:0
12.09.25	Ospitaletto - Pergolettese	1:2
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Pergolettese - Ospitaletto	0:0

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