Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Ospitaletto		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.48	3	2.82
	2.54	3.1	2.99
	3.19	2.00	3.82	Watch
	2.52	3.08	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.28)	2.84 ↓ (3.07)	2.98 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
35.2%

Draw
33.2%

Pergolettese
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.7%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

31%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ospitaletto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Ospitaletto - Pergolettese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Pergolettese (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pergolettese (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sonzogni L. (G) 2. Regazzetti S. 4. Nessi R. 6. Possenti M. 13. Sinn L. 26. Mondini G. 16. Gualandris M. 28. Panatti M. 7. Messaggi C. 9. Gobbi F. 99. Bertoli M.	1. Cordaro L. (G) 27. Aidoo M. 13. Benvenuto M. 26. Bane A. 33. Capoferri M. 6. Dore S. 4. Arini M. 21. Careccia S. 10. Ferrandino D. 9. Parker S. 7. Tomaselli G.
Substitutes
22. Bevilacqua A. (G) 77. Casali M. 14. Contessi A. 24. Diop S. 43. Guarneri M. 10. Ievoli M. 45. Mazza L. 98. Nagrudnyi V. 70. Orlandi A. 11. Pavanello A. 74. Pollio D. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 33. Sina S. 21. Torri A.	3. Antolini J. 11. Corti N. 32. Di Gesu E. 22. Doldi F. (G) 12. Finardi E. (G) 80. Jaouhari Z. 72. Padalino A. 19. Pala A. 77. Pessolani G. 76. Roversi L. 82. Sartori F. 20. Tremolada M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Dore S. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Gobbi F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Benvenuto M. ↓, Tremolada M. ↑,
59', Tremolada M. 🟨,
60', Possenti M. 🟥,
60', 🟨,
64', Bane A. 🟨,
65', Gobbi F. ↓, Sina S. ↑,
71', Gualandris M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
71', Messaggi C. ↓, Guarneri M. ↑,
72', Tomaselli G. ↓, Corti N. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Ferrandino D. ⚽,
76', Ferrandino D. 🟨,
82', Ferrandino D. ↓, Antolini J. ↑,
82', Dore S. ↓, Jaouhari Z. ↑,
82', Bertoli M. ↓, Torri A. ↑,
82', Mondini G. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
88', Orlandi A. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Ospitaletto has had a series of away games.

Recently, Pergolettese has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ospitaletto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Pergolettese - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
07.09.25	Triestina - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ospitaletto - Vicenza Virtus	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Lecco - Ospitaletto	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Lecco - Ospitaletto	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Pergolettese - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TTLWT
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
06.09.25	Pergolettese - Cittadella	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Lumezzane - Pergolettese	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Pergolettese - Renate	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Pergolettese - Renate	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Pergolettese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.25	Pergolettese - Ospitaletto	0:0

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