Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 21

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno


	Brescia		Trento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.45	4.95
	1.68	3.49	4.89	Watch
	1.83	3	4
	1.86	3.31	4.34	Watch
	1.77	3.14	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.14)	3.28 ↓ (3.53)	4.64 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
52.1%

Draw
28%

Trento
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

26%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

26.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brescia's performance.

Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brescia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trento than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Brescia - Trento Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Gori S. (G) 3. Rizzo A. 28. Silvestri L. 4. Sorensen F. 11. Cisco A. 21. Fogliata R. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 18. De Maria V. 24. Boci B. 97. Cazzadori D. 45. Valente M.	22. Tommasi M. (G) 27. Triacca D. 4. Trainotti A. (C) 28. Corradi C. 44. Maffei M. 10. Giannotti P. 14. Fossati M. 23. Aucelli C. 24. Dalmonte N. 11. Pellegrini J. 7. Capone C.
Substitutes
82. Armati L. 30. Cantamessa S. 31. Facchini A. 37. Giani E. 51. Grazioli N. (G) 74. Leporini L. 1. Liverani L. (G) 19. Pilati A. 77. Vesentini F.	1. Barlocco S. (G) 20. Benedetti G. 70. Calza G. 8. Cappelletti D. 71. Chinetti F. 38. Corallo C. 6. Fedele S. 29. Fiamozzi R. 37. Genco A. 21. Ladisa M. 19. Muca Z. 12. Rubboli L. (G) 5. Sangalli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Cazzadori D. ⚽,
24', Fossati M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Dalmonte N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Silvestri L. ⚽,
66', Fossati M. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
66', Capone C. ↓, Chinetti F. ↑,
66', Cisco A. ↓, Armati L. ↑,
66', Valente M. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
77', Giannotti P. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
83', Dalmonte N. ↓, Ladisa M. ↑,
85', De Maria V. ↓, Cantamessa S. ↑,
89', Cazzadori D. ↓, Vesentini F. ↑,
90+10', Boci B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Brescia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Trento is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Brescia is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brescia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Brescia	9	5	4	0	16:6	10	19
5	Trento	8	3	5	0	11:5	6	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
04.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Brescia	1:2 ✺
22.12.25	Brescia - Inter U23	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Ternana - Brescia	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
07.12.25	Brescia - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLL
- AC Trento SCSD
Italian Serie C Group A
03.01.26	Trento - Giana Erminio	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Trento - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Renate - Trento	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Trento - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Alcione - Trento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.25	Trento - Brescia	0:2

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