Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 17

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Briamasco (Trento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Trento		Cittadella

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.82	3	2.45
	2.67	3.03	2.77
	2.78	2.99	2.54	Watch
	2.7	2.88	2.45
	2.74	2.88	2.5	Watch
	2.42	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.57)	2.96 ↓ (3.49)	2.62 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trento
34.1%

Draw
30.9%

Cittadella
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.4%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26.3%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trento than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Trento - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Trento will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cittadella will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cittadella (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tommasi M. (G) 29. Fiamozzi R. 4. Trainotti A. (C) 28. Corradi C. 44. Maffei M. 23. Aucelli C. 14. Fossati M. 10. Giannotti P. 71. Chinetti F. 11. Pellegrini J. 7. Capone C.	69. Zanellati A. (G) 2. Salvi A. 55. Redolfi A. 28. Rizza A. 19. D'Alessio F. 16. Vita A. (C) 18. Pavan N. 8. Amatucci F. 14. Crialese C. 21. Rabbi S. 99. Castelli D.
Substitutes
1. Barlocco S. (G) 20. Benedetti G. 8. Cappelletti D. 13. Castelli M. 38. Corallo C. 6. Fedele S. 37. Genco A. 3. Meconi E. 12. Rubboli L. (G) 5. Sangalli M. 27. Triacca D.	7. Anastasia E. 90. Bunino C. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 10. Casolari F. 11. Desogus J. 30. De Zen R. 9. Diaw D. 23. Egharevba D. 91. Falcinelli D. 17. Gaddini M. 44. Gatti R. 40. Gobbato M. 15. Verna L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Fossati M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Salvi A. 🟨,
63', Rabbi S. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
63', Castelli D. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
66', Giannotti P. 🟨,
69', Fossati M. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
69', Chinetti F. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
70', Vita A. ↓, Gaddini M. ↑,
70', Rizza A. ↓, De Zen R. ↑,
80', Pellegrini J. ↓, Corallo C. ↑,
82', Pavan N. ↓, Verna L. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Capone C. ⚽,
90+2', Diaw D. 🟨,
90+3', Amatucci F. 🟨,
90+4', Capone C. ↓, Cappelletti D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

In recent matches, Trento has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cittadella is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:18. (average 0.8:3.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Cittadella - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.85%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Trento SCSD
Italian Serie C Group A
30.11.25	Alcione - Trento	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Trento - Inter U23	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Triestina - Trento	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Trento - Ospitaletto	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Virtus Verona - Trento	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWW
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
01.12.25	Cittadella - Brescia	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Lecco - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Cittadella - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Cittadella - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.07.23	Cittadella - Trento	1:3
30.07.22	Cittadella - Trento	2:0
31.07.21	Cittadella - Trento	0:0
28.07.19	Cittadella - Trento	6:0
02.08.17	Cittadella - Trento	9:1

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