Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 2

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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France	Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
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Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
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Poland	Eleven Sports 4
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Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
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Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Brest		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.60	3.30	2.65
	2.42	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.52	3.45	3.03
	2.53	3.4	2.76	Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.95
	2.53	3.51	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.62)	3.4 ↑ (3.37)	2.87 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
38.5%

Draw
28.2%

Toulouse
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	28.6%	35.7%

Brest - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Toulouse will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Brest (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Selvik E. (G) 70. Lala K. (C) 71. Le Guen R. 4. Lloris G. 2. Locko B. 13. Chotard J. 6. Diambou M. 10. Del Castillo R. 23. Doumbia K. 9. Mboup P. 19. Ajorque L.	16. Restes G. (G) 94. Diallo I. 3. McKenzie M. 2. Nicolaisen R. (C) 12. Tape C. 6. Vossah A. 23. Casseres C. 7. Vignolo J. 8. Jorgensen T. 10. Gboho Y. 13. Russell-Rowe J.
Substitutes
17. Balde M. 11. Camblan A. 32. Laine M. L. C. 8. Magnetti H. 34. Mailly E. 7. Nonge J. 30. Patouillet M. (G) 29. Tousart L. 20. Zogbe L.	49. Amaaouch A. 37. Azizi I. 9. Hidalgo S. 5. Koumbassa S. 22. Messali R. 60. Niflore M. (G) 19. Odogu D. 11. Oppong S. 31. Schmidt N.
Coaches
Lachuer J.	Askou J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Russell-Rowe J. ⚽, Gboho Y. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Doumbia K. ⚽, Diambou M. (A),
31', Locko B. 🟨,
44', Mboup P. 🟨,
45+3', Casseres C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Diallo I. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
60', Vossah A. ↓, Schmidt N. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Tape C. ⚽, Casseres C. (A),
67', Vignolo J. ↓, Oppong S. ↑,
67', Del Castillo R. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
75', Doumbia K. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
75', Diambou M. ↓, Magnetti H. ↑,
78', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
78', Jorgensen T. ↓, Koumbassa S. ↑,
83', Mboup P. ↓, Laine M. L. C. ↑,
83', Lloris G. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
89', Schmidt N. 🟨,
90+4', Nicolaisen R. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Ajorque L. ⚽, Magnetti H. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 3.

Brest has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Brest: Bourgault J. (Knee Injury) Chardonnet B. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Toulouse: Donnum A. (Inactive) Francis A. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Brest won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Toulouse: 0.43% Brest: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7:9	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Brest - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 36.05%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
22.08.26	Le Mans - Brest	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Nottingham Forest - Brest	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Brest - Venezia	2:2 ✺
05.08.26	Stade Briochin - Brest	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Brest - Al-Wakrah	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTWL
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
22.08.26	Toulouse - Lyon	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Toulouse - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Al Ain - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Toulouse - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Nantes - Toulouse	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWW?

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Brest - Toulouse	0:2
24.08.25	Toulouse - Brest	2:0
30.03.25	Toulouse - Brest	2:4
22.09.24	Brest - Toulouse	2:0
19.05.24	Toulouse - Brest	0:3
08.10.23	Brest - Toulouse	1:1
02.04.23	Brest - Toulouse	3:1

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