Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Variety 4, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Toulouse		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3.40	2.95
	2.22	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.31	3.46	3.31
	2.39	3.48	2.92	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.3
	2.16	3.57	3.48	Watch
	2.3	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (3.31)	3.45 ↓ (3.57)	3.21 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
42.2%

Draw
27.8%

Lyon
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

26.5%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulouse's performance.

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29%	25.8%	45.2%

Toulouse - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 9 - 31%). Lyon will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 23.5% – 59.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 2 - 50%). Lyon (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Restes G. (G) 94. Diallo I. 3. McKenzie M. 2. Nicolaisen R. (C) 12. Tape C. 23. Casseres C. 31. Schmidt N. 7. Vignolo J. 8. Jorgensen T. 10. Gboho Y. 9. Hidalgo S.	40. Descamps R. (G) 13. Athekame Z. 20. Bacher F. 22. Mata C. (C) 76. Ouedraogo M. 2. Bidstrup M. 39. de Carvalho M. 99. Nartey N. 26. Boudache K. 45. Himbert R. 24. Duranville J.
Substitutes
37. Azizi I. 5. Koumbassa S. 22. Messali R. 60. Niflore M. (G) 19. Odogu D. 11. Oppong S. 13. Russell-Rowe J. 28. Saka M. 77. Sauer M.	11. Fofana M. 1. Greif D. (G) 23. Morton T. 7. Nuamah E. 17. Openda L. 10. Sulc P. 3. Tagliafico N. 6. Tessmann T. 8. Tolisso C.
Coaches
Askou J.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Schmidt N. 🟨,
45', Nartey N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', Duranville J. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
63', Himbert R. ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Nartey N. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
69', de Carvalho M. ↓, Tolisso C. ↑,
69', Nartey N. ↓, Morton T. ↑,
71', Vignolo J. ↓, Azizi I. ↑,
71', Diallo I. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
71', Hidalgo S. ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
80', Bidstrup M. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
80', Gboho Y. ↓, Oppong S. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Fofana M. ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
86', Schmidt N. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
90+4', Tessmann T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2.

Lyon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lyon has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Toulouse: Donnum A. (Inactive) Francis A. (Inactive) Methalie D. (Yellow Cards) Vossah A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Lyon: Abner Vinicius (Inactive) Kluivert R. (Inactive) Maitland-Niles A. (Inactive) Merah K. (Ankle Injury) Niakhate M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 19:49. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.6:2.2).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 4.01% Toulouse: 0.43%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10:2	8	11
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7:9	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Lyon - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.99%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Toulouse - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Al Ain - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Toulouse - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Nantes - Toulouse	Canceled ✺
10.05.26	Toulouse - Lyon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWW?W
- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Champions League
18.08.26	Fenerbahçe - Lyon	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Lyon - Sparta Prague	3:0 ✺
04.08.26	Sparta Prague - Lyon	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Betis - Lyon	4:0 ✺
24.07.26	Wolfsburg - Lyon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.05.26	Toulouse - Lyon	2:1
05.10.25	Lyon - Toulouse	1:2
18.01.25	Lyon - Toulouse	0:0
29.09.24	Toulouse - Lyon	1:2
15.03.24	Toulouse - Lyon	2:3
10.12.23	Lyon - Toulouse	3:0
14.04.23	Toulouse - Lyon	1:2

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