Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Variety 4, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	20:45	Laola1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	—	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	21:45	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	20:45	Ligue 1+
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Mexico	12:45	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV6
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South America	—	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+


	Toulouse		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3.40	2.95
	2.22	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.31	3.46	3.31
	2.39	3.48	2.92	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.3
	2.16	3.57	3.48	Watch
	2.3	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (3.31)	3.45 ↓ (3.57)	3.21 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
42.2%

Draw
27.8%

Lyon
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.5%

26.5%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulouse's performance.

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29%	25.8%	45.2%

Toulouse - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 9 - 31%). Lyon will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 23.5% – 59.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 2 - 50%). Lyon (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Restes G. (G) 94. Diallo I. 3. McKenzie M. 2. Nicolaisen R. (C) 12. Tape C. 23. Casseres C. 31. Schmidt N. 7. Vignolo J. 8. Jorgensen T. 10. Gboho Y. 9. Hidalgo S.	40. Descamps R. (G) 13. Athekame Z. 20. Bacher F. 22. Mata C. (C) 76. Ouedraogo M. 2. Bidstrup M. 39. de Carvalho M. 99. Nartey N. 26. Boudache K. 45. Himbert R. 24. Duranville J.
Substitutes
37. Azizi I. 5. Koumbassa S. 22. Messali R. 60. Niflore M. (G) 19. Odogu D. 11. Oppong S. 13. Russell-Rowe J. 28. Saka M. 77. Sauer M.	11. Fofana M. 1. Greif D. (G) 23. Morton T. 7. Nuamah E. 17. Openda L. 10. Sulc P. 3. Tagliafico N. 6. Tessmann T. 8. Tolisso C.
Coaches
Askou J.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Schmidt N. 🟨,
45', Nartey N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', Duranville J. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
63', Himbert R. ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Nartey N. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
69', de Carvalho M. ↓, Tolisso C. ↑,
69', Nartey N. ↓, Morton T. ↑,
71', Vignolo J. ↓, Azizi I. ↑,
71', Diallo I. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
71', Hidalgo S. ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
80', Bidstrup M. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
80', Gboho Y. ↓, Oppong S. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Fofana M. ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
86', Schmidt N. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
90+4', Tessmann T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2.

Lyon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lyon has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Toulouse: Donnum A. (Inactive) Francis A. (Inactive) Methalie D. (Yellow Cards) Vossah A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Lyon: Abner Vinicius (Inactive) Kluivert R. (Inactive) Maitland-Niles A. (Inactive) Merah K. (Ankle Injury) Niakhate M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 19:49. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.6:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	13:7	6	14
11	Toulouse	8	2	4	2	12:11	1	10

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 2.58% Toulouse: 0.5%

Last Results with these Odds

Lyon - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.99%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Toulouse - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Al Ain - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Toulouse - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Nantes - Toulouse	Canceled ✺
10.05.26	Toulouse - Lyon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWW?W
- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Champions League
18.08.26	Fenerbahçe - Lyon	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Lyon - Sparta Prague	3:0 ✺
04.08.26	Sparta Prague - Lyon	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Betis - Lyon	4:0 ✺
24.07.26	Wolfsburg - Lyon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.05.26	Toulouse - Lyon	2:1
05.10.25	Lyon - Toulouse	1:2
18.01.25	Lyon - Toulouse	0:0
29.09.24	Toulouse - Lyon	1:2
15.03.24	Toulouse - Lyon	2:3
10.12.23	Lyon - Toulouse	3:0
14.04.23	Toulouse - Lyon	1:2

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