Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 36

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Brightlingsea Regent		Cray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.4	1.42
	5.87	4.61	1.46
	3.5	4.33	1.67
	5.9	4.7	1.42
	5.5	4.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (3.56)	4.56 ↑ (4.32)	1.48 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brightlingsea Regent
17.5%

Draw
20.2%

Cray Wanderers
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

21%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

20.6%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brightlingsea Regent's form might have worsened.

Cray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cray Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brightlingsea Regent, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cray Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brightlingsea Regent - Cray Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Brightlingsea has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cray is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brightlingsea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cray is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cray to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brightlingsea won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Brightlingsea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.03.23	Lewes - Brightlingsea Regent	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Hornchurch - Brightlingsea Regent	4:1 ✺
07.03.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Bognor Regis Town	0:4 ✺
04.03.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Kingstonian	0:1 ✺
28.02.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Horsham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.03.23	Cray Wanderers - Potters Bar Town	5:0 ✺
04.03.23	Bowers & Pitsea - Cray Wanderers	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Cray Wanderers - Hornchurch	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Hastings United - Cray Wanderers	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	Cray Wanderers - Folkestone Invicta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.10.22	Cray Wanderers - Brightlingsea Regent	4:0
29.01.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Cray Wanderers	1:0
25.09.21	Cray Wanderers - Brightlingsea Regent	0:2
07.03.20	Cray Wanderers - Brightlingsea Regent	1:0
16.11.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Cray Wanderers	0:2

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