Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 19

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday


	Bowers & Pitsea		Cray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.1
	2.95	3.55	2.09
	3.1	3.59	2.06
	3.09	3.64	2.04
	2.5	3.75	2.2
	3.14	3.36	2.07
	2.95	3.55	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.5)	3.56 ↑ (3.32)	2.09 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bowers & Pitsea
31.1%

Draw
25.5%

Cray Wanderers
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

25.7%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bowers & Pitsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Cray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cray Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bowers & Pitsea than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bowers & Pitsea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cray Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bowers & Pitsea - Cray Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Chambers L. 🟨,
79', 0 - 1, Raymond F. (Pen),

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bowers & Pitsea won 1.

Bowers & Pitsea has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cray is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cray could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cray have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bowers & Pitsea won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.6:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Bowers & Pitsea won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Cray Wanderers - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.79%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bowers & Pitsea FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.11.24	Horsham - Bowers & Pitsea	5:0 ✺
26.11.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Bowers & Pitsea	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Billericay Town - Bowers & Pitsea	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Bognor Regis Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.11.24	Cray Wanderers - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Canvey Island - Cray Wanderers	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Potters Bar Town - Cray Wanderers	0:4 ✺
09.11.24	Folkestone Invicta - Cray Wanderers	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.03.23	Bowers & Pitsea - Cray Wanderers	1:2
18.09.22	Cray Wanderers - Bowers & Pitsea	3:3
20.03.22	Cray Wanderers - Bowers & Pitsea	3:4
30.11.21	Bowers & Pitsea - Cray Wanderers	1:1
11.01.20	Bowers & Pitsea - Cray Wanderers	1:2
02.10.19	Cray Wanderers - Bowers & Pitsea	3:1

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