Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 27

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday


	Lewes		Brightlingsea Regent

	1	X	2
	1.21	6.25	9
	1.27	5.2	7.6
	1.2	7.67	8.9
	1.25	5.5	7.5
	1.2	6.3	10.75
	1.2	6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.37)	6.15 ↑ (5)	8.96 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
74.9%

Draw
14.9%

Brightlingsea Regent
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

18%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

17%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lewes's performance.

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brightlingsea Regent might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Lewes - Brightlingsea Regent Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lewes will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Brightlingsea will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lewes: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lewes won 1.

Lewes is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brightlingsea is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lewes is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lewes won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Lewes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.03.23	Lewes - Enfield Town	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Hornchurch - Lewes	2:2 ✺
25.02.23	Lewes - Billericay Town	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Aveley - Lewes	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Lewes - Horsham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTTLT
- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.03.23	Hornchurch - Brightlingsea Regent	4:1 ✺
07.03.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Bognor Regis Town	0:4 ✺
04.03.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Kingstonian	0:1 ✺
28.02.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Horsham	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Haringey Borough - Brightlingsea Regent	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.11.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Lewes	2:2
22.01.22	Lewes - Brightlingsea Regent	2:2
18.09.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Lewes	0:4
26.09.20	Lewes - Brightlingsea Regent	1:2
22.02.20	Lewes - Brightlingsea Regent	0:1
28.09.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Lewes	2:3
16.03.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Lewes	0:0

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