Match Info

Prva liga - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nogometni park Brinje (Grosuplje) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jazbec Z. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	17:30	SportKlub 10
Slovenia	17:30	SportKlub 1


	Brinje-Grosuplje		Maribor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.60	3.80	1.62
	4.40	3.65	1.60	Watch
	4.71	3.80	1.74
	4.89	3.89	1.66	Watch
	4.65	3.70	1.72
	4.63	3.70	1.71	Watch
	4.50	3.75	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↓ (4.73)	3.76 ↓ (3.79)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brinje-Grosuplje
20%

Draw
24.6%

Maribor
55.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.7%

24.6%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

23.5%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brinje-Grosuplje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Maribor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brinje-Grosuplje than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Brinje Grosuplje - Maribor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Brinje-Grosuplje (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brinje-Grosuplje (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Zrnec J. (G) 2. Benkic K. 72. Ivkic D. 10. Jovicevic N. (C) 28. Kavcic M. 27. Kurtic J. 49. Kurtovic A. 17. Levanic T. 24. Mesko Z. 8. Roric M. 9. Vuckic H.	1. Jug A. (C) 25. Blazic M. 7. Cipot T. 8. Goncalves C. 5. Jevsenak Z. 23. Karnicnik Z. 21. Koderman V. 6. Mbondo B. 17. Mlakar J. 38. Osterc N. 70. Tshipamba I.
Substitutes
7. Hojc V. 22. Koren N. 14. Kovac J. 37. Kurez G. 19. Matjaz S. 21. Milosevic E. 1. Strasberger T. (G) 77. Vlahovic V. 30. Young R. 5. Zlatkov A. 11. Zrnec N.	3. Bumbic C. 99. Feta B. 43. Handanovic T. (G) 39. Lainovic I. (G) 11. Reghba A. 14. Seri J. 55. Spanring M. 15. Taylor E. 50. Vidmar L. 29. Vizinger D. 24. Zabukovec A. 79. Zahovic L.
Coaches
Markovic G.	Milanic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Tshipamba I. 🟨,
37', Jevsenak Z. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Vuckic H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Osterc N. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
46', Koderman V. ↓, Bumbic C. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Cipot T. ⚽,
63', Benkic K. 🟨,
65', Roric M. 🟨,
68', 1 - 2, Zrnec J. (Own goal),
70', Benkic K. ↓, Kovac J. ↑,
70', Vuckic H. ↓, Matjaz S. ↑,
70', Kurtovic A. ↓, Koren N. ↑,
71', Jevsenak Z. ↓, Feta B. ↑,
74', Goncalves C. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
77', Mesko Z. ↓, Kurez G. ↑,
82', Karnicnik Z. 🟨,
82', Roric M. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
85', Mlakar J. ↓, Seri J. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: )).

Brinje-Grosuplje has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Maribor shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Maribor may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Maribor carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Brinje-Grosuplje has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Brinje-Grosuplje against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Maribor	13	6	6	1	21:13	8	24
9	Grosuplje	12	3	2	7	15:25	-10	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Brinje-Grosuplje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.09.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Radomlje	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Nafta	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Brinje-Grosuplje	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Celje	4:1 ✺
21.08.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Brinje-Grosuplje	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLWL
- NK Maribor
Club Friendly
28.09.26	Maribor - Gorica	1:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.09.26	Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Radomlje - Maribor	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Maribor - Mura	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Nafta - Maribor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
25.07.26	Maribor - Brinje-Grosuplje	3:0
Slovenian Cup
29.10.25	Brinje-Grosuplje - Maribor	2:1 penalties

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