Match Info

Prva liga - Round 7

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Nogometni park Brinje (Grosuplje)

Referee: Smajc D. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Brinje-Grosuplje		Celje

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.60	1.80
	3.50	3.45	1.83	Watch
	4.06	4.02	1.82
	4.04	4.02	1.76	Watch
	3.90	3.95	1.79
	3.89	3.94	1.79	Watch
	3.65	3.65	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (4.45)	3.8 ↓ (3.98)	1.8 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brinje-Grosuplje
24.2%

Draw
24.3%

Celje
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

23%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.2%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brinje-Grosuplje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brinje-Grosuplje than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celje could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brinje Grosuplje - Celje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Zrnec J. (G) 2. Benkic K. 10. Jovicevic N. 22. Koren N. 27. Kurtic J. 30. Kurtovic A. 17. Levanic T. 18. Maher R. 19. Matjaz S. 21. Milosevic E. 23. Pusnik N. (C)	23. Frelih Z. (G) 44. Bejger L. 27. Calusic I. 13. Daniel P. 20. Dionkou A. 33. Koutris L. 32. Letonja T. 99. Poplatnik M. 94. Pozeg R. 25. Tusha V. 3. Vuklisevic D.
Coaches
Markovic G.	Campelos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Matjaz S. ↓, Roric M. ↑,
17', 0 - 1, Tusha V. ⚽, Poplatnik M. (A),
33', Vuklisevic D. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Koren N. ⚽, Roric M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Levanic T. ⚽,
57', 3 - 1, Koren N. ⚽,
58', Calusic I. ↓, Dukuly Y. ↑,
58', Bejger L. ↓, Kvesic M. ↑,
58', Pozeg R. ↓, Hrka D. ↑,
69', Tusha V. ↓, Kucys A. ↑,
69', Vuklisevic D. ↓, Avdyli M. ↑,
76', Dionkou A. 🟨,
76', Koren N. ↓, Kurez G. ↑,
76', Kurtic J. ↓, Hojc V. ↑,
87', Jovicevic N. ↓, Zrnec N. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Vlahovic V. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Brinje-Grosuplje has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Celje is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Celje may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Celje is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Celje: 19.76% Grosuplje: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Celje	9	3	3	3	11:11	0	12
8	Grosuplje	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Celje - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.46%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Brinje-Grosuplje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
21.08.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Brinje-Grosuplje	4:2 ✺
16.08.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Mura	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	NK Bravo - Brinje-Grosuplje	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Rudar Prijedor	7:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
02.08.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Koper	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTWT
- NK Celje
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	Celje - Slovan Bratislava	1:2 AET ✺
19.08.26	Slovan Bratislava - Celje	1:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
15.08.26	Nafta - Celje	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Celje - Ararat-Armenia	2:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
08.08.26	Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWWW

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