Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Maribor		Gorica

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.40	3.40
	1.95	3.55	3.05
	1.85	3.60	3.67
	1.89	3.67	3.51
	1.81	3.35	3.60
	1.89	3.68	3.57	Watch
	1.92	3.45	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	3.42 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maribor
48%

Draw
25.6%

Gorica
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.2%

25.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

24.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Maribor - Gorica Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maribor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Lainovic I. (G) 25. Blazic M. (C) 7. Cipot T. 99. Feta B. 8. Goncalves C. 5. Jevsenak Z. 21. Koderman V. 6. Mbondo B. 17. Mlakar J. 55. Spanring M. 70. Tshipamba I.	71. Matijas D. (G) 7. Bakic O. 10. Brodic F. 4. Custovic K. 34. Cvijanovic I. 50. Erceg A. 21. Moustapha H. I. 24. Pavicic D. 45. Peric S. 8. Pranjic J. 15. Stevanovic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Erceg A. ⚽,
23', 🟥,
33', 1 - 1, Feta B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
78', 🟨,

Preview

Maribor has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Gorica have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Gorica may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Maribor holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Maribor has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:4 (averaging 3.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Maribor against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:4 goals (averaging 3.3:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.09.26	Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Radomlje - Maribor	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Maribor - Mura	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Nafta - Maribor	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	Maribor - NK Bravo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWTWW
- HNK Gorica
Croatian HNL
19.09.26	Istra 1961 - Gorica	0:1 ✺
14.09.26	Gorica - Varaždin	2:2 ✺
Croatian Cup
09.09.26	Uskok Klis - Gorica	1:3 AET ✺
Croatian HNL
05.09.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Gorica - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.09.25	Maribor - Gorica	4:2
03.07.19	Maribor - Gorica	4:1
13.10.18	Maribor - Gorica	1:0
28.01.17	Maribor - Gorica	4:1

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