Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 12

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: AJ Kelly Park (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Brisbane Roar U23		Eastern Suburbs

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.33	1.65
	3.75	4.25	1.65
	3.8	4.5	1.66
	3.84	4.57	1.67	Watch
	3.9	4	1.65
	4.04	4.25	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (4.84)	4.32 ↓ (4.5)	1.65 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Roar U23
23.6%

Draw
21.1%

Eastern Suburbs
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

20.6%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

20%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Roar U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Eastern Suburbs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar U23 than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern Suburbs than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eastern Suburbs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brisbane Roar U23 - Eastern Suburbs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,
78', 0 - 3, ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).

Brisbane Roar U23 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eastern Suburbs is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Brisbane Roar U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Eastern Suburbs is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Brisbane Roar U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Roar U23
Australian NPL Queensland
15.05.26	Brisbane Roar U23 - Queensland Lions	1:3 ✺
10.05.26	Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane Roar U23	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Moreton City Excelsior - Brisbane Roar U23	6:0 ✺
19.04.26	Brisbane Roar U23 - Olympic FC	1:5 ✺
12.04.26	Brisbane Roar U23 - Peninsula Power	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LLLLW
- Eastern Suburbs
Australian NPL Queensland
10.05.26	Eastern Suburbs - Gold Coast United	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Eastern Suburbs - Rochedale Rovers	6:1 ✺
18.04.26	Magic United - Eastern Suburbs	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Olympic FC - Eastern Suburbs	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Moreton City Excelsior - Eastern Suburbs	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
01.03.26	Eastern Suburbs - Brisbane Roar U23	3:2
06.07.25	Brisbane Roar U23 - Eastern Suburbs	1:2
25.06.25	Eastern Suburbs - Brisbane Roar U23	3:3

Brisbane Roar U23 - Eastern Suburbs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide