Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 9

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Heath Park (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Eastern Suburbs		Rochedale Rovers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.85	3.05
	1.91	4.14	3.15
	1.89	4.41	3.2	Watch
	1.85	3.8	3.1
	1.81	3.98	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.76)	4.04 ↓ (4.24)	3.17 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern Suburbs
48.7%

Draw
22.6%

Rochedale Rovers
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

21.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

21.5%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern Suburbs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Rochedale Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern Suburbs than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastern Suburbs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochedale Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Eastern Suburbs - Rochedale Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 4 - 0, ⚽,
55', 5 - 0, ⚽,
66', 6 - 0, ⚽,
78', 6 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastern Suburbs won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Eastern Suburbs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rochedale Rovers has had a series of away games.

Eastern Suburbs will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Eastern Suburbs won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastern Suburbs won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 2.5:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern Suburbs
Australian NPL Queensland
18.04.26	Magic United - Eastern Suburbs	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Olympic FC - Eastern Suburbs	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Moreton City Excelsior - Eastern Suburbs	3:0 ✺
20.03.26	Eastern Suburbs - Gold Coast Knights	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Eastern Suburbs - Queensland Lions	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLLL
- Rochedale Rovers
Australian NPL Queensland
19.04.26	Brisbane City - Rochedale Rovers	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Gold Coast Knights - Rochedale Rovers	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Peninsula Power - Rochedale Rovers	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Moreton City Excelsior - Rochedale Rovers	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rochedale Rovers - Brisbane Roar U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
03.06.23	Eastern Suburbs - Rochedale Rovers	1:6
25.02.23	Rochedale Rovers - Eastern Suburbs	0:1
Australian Brisbane Premier League
24.06.17	Rochedale Rovers - Eastern Suburbs	2:0
18.03.17	Eastern Suburbs - Rochedale Rovers	3:2
10.07.16	Rochedale Rovers - Eastern Suburbs	0:3
02.04.16	Eastern Suburbs - Rochedale Rovers	3:0
13.06.15	Eastern Suburbs - Rochedale Rovers	3:1

Eastern Suburbs - Rochedale Rovers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide