Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 43

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Yates O. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.7
	4.6	3.8	1.68
	4.75	3.75	1.75
	4.88	3.93	1.74
	4.75	3.7	1.7
	4.7	3.84	1.71	Watch
	4.6	3.75	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (3.75)	3.8 ↑ (3.53)	1.71 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
20%

Draw
24.9%

Sheffield Wednesday
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

26.4%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.6%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheffield Wednesday's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheffield Wednesday, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Bristol Rovers - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Wed: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Bristol Rovers has the most likely position - 15 (24.75%), project points - 58, currently - 52, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 3 (44.01%), project points - 91, currently - 84, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (79%), a chance of promoted (40%), a very small chance of win league (4%).

This event has small quality 24, importance 35, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Bristol Rovers have a series of home games.

In this match Sheff Wed is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
15.04.23	Bristol Rovers - Derby County	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Fleetwood Town - Bristol Rovers	1:2 ✺
07.04.23	Bristol Rovers - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Bristol Rovers - Portsmouth	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Bristol Rovers - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWLL
- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
15.04.23	Burton Albion - Sheffield Wednesday	3:2 ✺
10.04.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Accrington Stanley	3:0 ✺
07.04.23	Oxford United - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
29.03.23	Cheltenham Town - Sheffield Wednesday	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.10.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Bristol Rovers	1:1

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