The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 16.5%
Draw 24.6%
Sheffield Wednesday 58.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.4%
26%
53.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.9%
26.6%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheffield Wednesday's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheffield Wednesday, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.2%
3%
81.8%
Cheltenham Town - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sheffield Wednesday will win
(54 of 66 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.52% – 91.12%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Cheltenham has the most likely position - 19 (13.46%), has project points - 51, has currently - 28, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 1 (54.93%), has project points - 95, has currently - 58, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a good chance of promoted (85%), has a good chance of win league (55%).
This event has small quality24, importance51, match rating37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Cheltenham is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sheff Wed in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Cheltenham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Sheff Wed have a series of home games.
In this match Sheff Wed is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
Watch
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