Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 39

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Hillsborough (Sheffield)

Referee: Madden B. (Sco)


	Sheffield Wednesday		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	9.5
	1.39	4.4	8.25
	1.4	4.6	8.6
	1.39	4.75	9.06
	1.38	4.2	9
	1.38	4.6	8.7	Watch
	1.37	4.5	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.33)	4.51 ↓ (4.76)	8.79 ↓ (9.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield Wednesday
68.2%

Draw
21%

Lincoln City
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

19.6%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

18.6%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sheffield Wednesday, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Sheffield Wednesday - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sheff Wed will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Lincoln will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Wed: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 1 (41.24%), project points - 95, currently - 79, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), a good chance of promoted (78%), a chance of win league (41%).

Lincoln has the most likely position - 14 (21.04%), project points - 56, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 24, importance 47, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Sheff Wed is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lincoln is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lincoln could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sheff Wed have a series of guest games.

In this match Sheff Wed is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sheff Wed won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sheff Wed won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
29.03.23	Cheltenham Town - Sheffield Wednesday	2:2 ✺
26.03.23	Forest Green Rovers - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0 ✺
21.03.23	Barnsley - Sheffield Wednesday	4:2 ✺
17.03.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Portsmouth - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLLTW
- Lincoln City
English League One
25.03.23	Fleetwood Town - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Lincoln City - Peterborough United	0:3 ✺
11.03.23	Exeter City - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
07.03.23	Cheltenham Town - Lincoln City	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	Lincoln City - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
22.10.22	Lincoln City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1
05.03.22	Lincoln City - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1
23.10.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Lincoln City	1:1
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Lincoln City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:3
13.07.18	Lincoln City - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1

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