Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 37

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Derby County

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.91
	3.8	3.3	1.95
	4	3.4	1.95
	4.17	3.46	2
	4.17	3.46	1.98
	3.8	3.5	1.91
	3.9	3.54	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.49)	3.43 ↓ (3.56)	1.94 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
23.9%

Draw
27.5%

Derby County
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

26.2%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

25.8%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Bristol Rovers - Derby County Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Derby will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ward J. (G) 30. Hoole L. 17. Taylor C. 26. Baggott E. 3. Gordon L. 6. Finley S. (C) 22. Conteh K. 19. Vale H. 21. Evans A. 7. Sinclair S. 18. Martin C.	1. Wildsmith J. (G) 35. Nelson C. 5. Bradley S. 6. Cashin E. 23. Ward J. 4. Hourihane C. (C) 32. Adams E. 17. Sibley L. 11. Mendez-Laing N. 25. Gayle D. 7. Barkhuizen T.
Substitutes
20. Brown J. 2. Connolly J. 33. Cox M. (G) 25. Crama T. 4. Grant J. 9. Marquis J. 45. Vaughan H.	27. Blackett-Taylor C. 13. Loach S. (G) 26. Robinson D. 12. Smith K. 16. Thompson L. 10. Waghorn M. 2. Wilson K.
Coaches
Taylor M.	Warne P.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bristol Rovers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Derby will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
02.03.24	Leyton Orient - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Bristol Rovers - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Northampton Town - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
13.02.24	Stevenage Borough - Bristol Rovers	2:3 ✺
10.02.24	Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLWL
- Derby County
English League One
02.03.24	Derby County - Port Vale	3:0 ✺
27.02.24	Derby County - Charlton Athletic	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Barnsley - Derby County	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Derby County - Stevenage Borough	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Exeter City - Derby County	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.11.23	Derby County - Bristol Rovers	2:1
15.04.23	Bristol Rovers - Derby County	1:1
29.10.22	Derby County - Bristol Rovers	4:2
Club Friendly
19.07.13	Bristol Rovers - Derby County	0:2

Upcoming Matches