Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Broń Radom		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	1.85
	3.4	3.6	1.85
	3.25	3.5	1.94
	3.38	3.66	2.02
	3.42	3.48	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.26)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	1.93 (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Broń Radom
27%

Draw
25.7%

Polonia Warsaw
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25.2%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

19.5%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Broń Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Broń Radom that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Broń Radom - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 4).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Polonia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Polonia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Broń Radom won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Broń Radom won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.10.21	Unia Skierniewice - Broń Radom	1:0 ✺
08.10.21	Broń Radom - Wissa Szczuczyn	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Legionovia Legionowo - Broń Radom	1:0 ✺
25.09.21	Broń Radom - Wikielec	3:2 ✺
18.09.21	ŁKS Łódź II - Broń Radom	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.10.21	Polonia Warsaw - Mamry Giżycko	1:2 ✺
09.10.21	Pilica Białobrzegi - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
02.10.21	Polonia Warsaw - Legia II	2:3 ✺
25.09.21	Znicz Biała Piska - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
18.09.21	Polonia Warsaw - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.09.20	Polonia Warsaw - Broń Radom	4:1
15.11.19	Broń Radom - Polonia Warsaw	1:1
05.05.19	Polonia Warsaw - Broń Radom	3:1
15.09.18	Broń Radom - Polonia Warsaw	4:3

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