Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday


	Polonia Warsaw		Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.35	4.7	6.6
	1.42	4.4	5.6
	1.5	4.45	5.84
	1.43	4.55	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.53)	4.4 ↑ (3.91)	5.95 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
63.8%

Draw
20.8%

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

18.7%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Polonia Warsaw - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 5).

Polonia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Polonia is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Polonia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Polonia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.09.21	Kutno - Polonia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
08.09.21	Polonia Warsaw - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	Ursus Warszawa - Polonia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
28.08.21	Polonia Warsaw - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
21.08.21	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Polonia Warsaw	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWLW
- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.09.21	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Unia Skierniewice	1:1 ✺
08.09.21	Wissa Szczuczyn - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:4 ✺
04.09.21	Legionovia Legionowo - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
28.08.21	Wikielec - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
21.08.21	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź II	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.10.20	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	1:2
24.08.19	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	0:0
31.03.19	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	2:0
19.08.18	Polonia Warsaw - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:0
02.05.18	Polonia Warsaw - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:0
24.09.17	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	0:0

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